Polymarket Gives Meta Just 12% Odds to Lead AI Race by Year-End Despite Muse Spark 1.3
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-03
On Polymarket's "Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?" market, Meta trades at just 12%, even after releasing Muse Spark 1.3, with Alexandr Wang claiming it beats OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at coding. Current odds: Google and OpenAI 22% each, Z.ai 16%, xAI 13%, Meta and Alibaba 12% each, Moonshot 10%, with $138K total volume; DeepSeek draws outsized trading volume at $23.5K despite 6% odds.
Related event: Meta Releases Muse Spark 1.3 as Its Strongest Model(2 posts)→
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