Auditing Ed Zitron's AI predictions: Google beat the 'impossible' Gemini target by 50%
Recoil42 · reddit · 2026-09-02
A danluu.com essay audits Ed Zitron's AI-skeptic predictions and finds his ultra-high-confidence calls routinely wrong: he said Google's Gemini user forecast was 'so unrealistic someone at Google should be fired — namely Sundar Pichai,' and Google beat it by 50%; he called OpenAI's forecast near-financial-crime, and OpenAI has hit it. The piece highlights his internal contradictions (Google can't grow yet also fakes growth) and the incentive loop, per lcamtuf, where extreme uncompromising stances build an audience and harden into identity.
Related event: Dan Luu Fact-Checks Ed Zitron's AI Predictions(6 posts)→
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