Ryan Greenblatt doubts working mech interp oversight arrives within a year
connoraxiotes · x · 2026-09-02
Responding to a prediction that mechanistic interpretability monitoring will be Pareto-optimal to CoT monitors within a year, Ryan Greenblatt says he doesn't expect strong, working mech interp in under a year. He adds that if CoT loses most of its monitoring value, internals-based methods could indeed dominate — but relying on AIs decoding other AIs' opaque activations for oversight is, in his words, spooky.
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