Dallas Fed: Texas firms with higher GenAI exposure post 8-9% fewer jobs
rohanpaul_ai · x · 2026-09-02
The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas published a report finding that Texas firms with higher GenAI exposure posted 8-9% fewer jobs. Exposure was measured by mapping ONET tasks to actual Claude usage, then linking scores to millions of Lightcast online postings.
By Q1 2025, more-exposed occupations had 8% fewer postings than less-exposed ones; exposed firms were down 8-9% by early 2026. The occupation-level gap opened after ChatGPT's release, reaching 5% by end-2023 and 8% by Q1 2025.
Since online postings typically require little experience, the decline hits recent graduates and job switchers first. Software development, web design, management, clerical work and editing rank among the most exposed occupations.
Related event: Dallas Fed: Firms Highly Exposed to GenAI Cut Job Postings 8-9%(2 posts)→
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