Prediction Market Gives Grok 5 a 65% Chance of Release This Year

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-01

Polymarket data shows a 65% probability that xAI's Grok 5 model will be released by the end of this year (2026). The market resolves to "Yes" only if the model is officially announced by xAI as the flagship successor to Grok 4 and is made accessible to the general public, including open betas or waitlists. Private access or closed betas do not qualify.

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