Prediction market gives 84% chance OpenAI's 'Astra' model releases next month
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-31
Polymarket data indicates an 84% probability that OpenAI's "Astra" model will be released to the public by September 30, rising to 93% by the end of October.
The market resolves to "Yes" only if a qualifying model—named "Astra" or confirmed to be the referenced internal model—is launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or waitlists. A closed beta is insufficient. The post also includes a context quote from Sam Altman suggesting a slowdown in AI development.
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