Tesla Could Pass Waymo by Late 2027, Reaching 1.4M Weekly Rides
ChrisGPT · x · 2026-08-29
Based on aggressive growth scenarios, Tesla's unsupervised Robotaxi service could surpass Waymo by Q3 2027. Waymo currently reports over 500K weekly fully autonomous trips and aims for 1M by year-end. Tesla, estimated at 7K-14K weekly rides, would need to sustain 10% weekly growth to intersect with Waymo (assuming 1% growth) around August 2027, with both reaching 1.4M weekly rides. The author notes this is a scenario, not a forecast, and sustaining such growth from a small base is extraordinarily difficult.
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