Prediction Market: 68% Chance of State Data Center Moratorium by Year-End

Polymarket · x · 2026-08-29

A Polymarket forecast gives a 68% probability that any U.S. state will enact a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if legislation temporarily prohibits approval, permitting, construction, or grid connection of new data centers. This follows New York's July 2026 executive order pausing state environmental permits for hyperscale data centers over 50 MW due to bipartisan pressure over electricity and water usage.

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