Polymarket places 11% chance on AI bubble bursting by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-29
A Polymarket prediction market currently gives an 11% chance that the AI bubble will burst by the end of 2026. The market defines an industry downturn strictly, requiring at least three specific conditions to occur within a 90-day window. These triggers include NVDA dropping 50% from its all-time high, bankruptcy or acquisition of OpenAI/Anthropic, and H100 rental prices falling to $1.00 or lower.
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