AI Risk Debate: Do Historical Precedents Apply to Unrealized Risks?

davidmanheim · x · 2026-08-28

David Manheim replies to DrAtoosa, pointing out that two of the three examples cited (nonproliferation treaty and Asilomar conference) were about purely speculative risks that hadn't happened, so the claim that 'empirically-grounded history shows actual disasters' is flawed.

Related event: Researchers Debate Whether Historical Precedents Apply to AI Risk Governance(2 posts)→

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