Superforecasters Predict OpenAI & Anthropic to Hit $770B Revenue by 2040

scaling01 · x · 2026-08-27

Superforecasters predict the combined annualized revenue run rate of OpenAI and Anthropic will reach $90B by 2026, $300B by 2030, and $770B by 2040. There is a 34% chance the combined revenue exceeds $400B by end of 2030. Since the survey closed, their reported combined run rate has already surpassed $105B.

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