Most businesses haven't adopted advanced AI yet—productivity gains are premature
arakharazian · x · 2026-08-26
The author offers two readings of an AI adoption chart: either the market has failed to produce AI products businesses want, or the category is simply nascent with room to grow—he argues both are somewhat true.
Key point: debates over AI's economic impact can be settled quickly with this chart—most businesses aren't using a particularly advanced version of AI, so we're expecting productivity gains from tech no one uses yet. Coding agents, the most commercially mature form of AI useful to workers, only serve one job type in tech; model companies haven't yet shipped equivalents for other white-collar work—Cowork and Codex are a start but remain primarily coding agents.
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