Polymarket puts 13% chance on AI bubble bursting by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-26
Polymarket data indicates a 13% probability that the AI industry will face a downturn by the end of 2026. The prediction is based on specific quantitative criteria: if three of six conditions occur—such as NVDA dropping 50% from all-time highs, H100 rentals falling below $1.00 for five days, or bankruptcy of OpenAI/Anthropic—the market will resolve to "Yes".
Related event: Prediction Markets See Only ~13% Odds of AI Bubble Bursting This Year(2 posts)→
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