Traders dump 2600% swing on Gemini downloads bet; mystery 0x Alpha model stirs markets
adrianscottcom · x · 2026-08-25
An AI market intelligence report for Aug 25 shows Kalshi saw 80 markets move over 5% versus just 9 on Polymarket. The biggest swing: "Will Gemini App downloads for August 2026 top 280?" jumped from 2% to 54% in one snapshot — a 2,600% relative move — with the whole Gemini ladder (260 at 76%, 220 and 200 at 94%) repriced in a coordinated move.
The other storyline is the "0x Alpha" stealth-model saga: TechCrunch asked "Who's behind the new stealth model?", with news and prices moving in lockstep — the clearest example of headlines driving prediction markets that day.
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