Prediction Market: Only 11% Chance AI Bubble Bursts by Year-End
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-24
Polymarket data shows the market assigns only an 11% probability to the AI bubble bursting by the end of the year. The prediction sets specific resolution criteria, such as NVIDIA stock dropping 50%, bankruptcy of OpenAI or Anthropic, or H100 rental prices falling below $1, with at least three conditions occurring within 90 days. Current massive capital expenditures suggest continued market optimism.
Related event: Prediction Markets See Only ~13% Odds of AI Bubble Bursting This Year(2 posts)→
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