Prediction Markets: OpenAI Bankruptcy Odds at 2.7%
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-23
Polymarket data reveals bankruptcy prediction odds for various companies before 2027. OpenAI's implied probability is 2.7% (Yes price at 2.7¢), Anthropic at 2.4%, and Perplexity AI at 2.1%. In contrast, traditional companies like Workhorse and Beyond Meat have significantly higher predicted probabilities.
Related event: Prediction Markets Put OpenAI Bankruptcy Odds at Just 3%(2 posts)→
More from Venture
- Bears getting euphoric as big short seller John Hempton says he's enjoying the day — toptickcrypto · 2026-10-16
- AI-driven job losses could turn $10T consumer debt into a $1T banking hole — churchkey · 2026-10-16
- I/O Fund: the 17-year bull market has room to run, but a ~20% correction comes first — Beth_Kindig · 2026-10-16
- TSMC Q3 revenue hits $46.7B, up 41% YoY; Q4 guidance of $52-54B tops estimates — Beth_Kindig · 2026-10-16
- BytePlus-backed AI Film Award offers $1M grand prize for films 70% made with Seedance — DavidmComfort · 2026-10-16
- dunkhippo33 on startup timing: most great ideas only exist because they weren't possible before — dunkhippo33 · 2026-10-16