Polymarket: 12% chance AI bubble bursts by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-23
A Polymarket prediction market puts the odds of an AI bubble burst by the end of the year at 12%. The market resolves to 'Yes' only if at least three specific conditions occur within 90 days: NVDA stock drops 50%, SOXX drops 40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy or acquisition, H100 rental prices fall to $1, or a major hardware supplier collapses.
Related event: Polymarket Puts AI Bubble Burst Odds at Just 12%(3 posts)→
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