Decentralized AGI: Structural Short on the Bubble with Positive Carry
bengoertzel · x · 2026-08-22
Ben Goertzel concludes that decentralized open AGI acts as a 'Fractional-Kelly' position: bounded downside in all scenarios and resolving the US-China dilemma. He notes Gary Marcus stops at 'we're screwed,' but the Kelly logic points to an exit. Decentralized AGI (Hyperon on ASI:Chain), with token-funded compute having no debt or refinancing gates, serves as the natural buyer of fire-sale GPUs, structurally short the bubble with positive carry.
More from AGI Musings
- Interp researcher pushes back: if you can't simulate a neuron, you haven't explained it — nabla_theta · 2026-10-16
- Virtue ethics meets AI alignment: what would it mean to make a model virtuous? — joelbot3000 · 2026-10-16
- Professor: this rec letter season I'm evaluating the student plus Claude — RoozbehMottaghi · 2026-10-16
- Prediction: Riemann Hypothesis likely falls to AI before 2030 — gautamcgoel · 2026-10-16
- Models are superintelligent where data is abundant, and weaker everywhere else — burny_tech · 2026-10-16
- ChatGPT's Dot Reviewed: Your Chief of Staff Is Still Just a Codex Wrapper — infinitely_zero · 2026-10-16