Polymarket gives DeepSeek 7% chance of having top AI model by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-21
Polymarket prediction market data shows only a 7% chance that DeepSeek will have the #1 AI model by the end of the year (Volume: $20,814). In comparison, OpenAI leads at 30% and Google at 17%.
The market resolves based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard. This comes after DeepSeek unveiled a new multimodal model claiming performance "close to" Anthropic's Opus 4.8 on advanced agentic tasks.
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