Polymarket: 14% chance the AI bubble bursts by end of year
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-21
Polymarket data indicates a 14% probability that the AI industry bubble will burst by the end of the year. Resolution criteria include NVIDIA stock dropping 50% from its high, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy or acquisition, and H100 rental prices falling below $1.00, with three conditions needing to be met within 90 days.
Related event: Prediction Markets Put AI Bubble Burst Odds at 14% This Year(2 posts)→
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