LLM-Controlled Robots Have <10% Chance of Reliability by 2028
a_karvonen · x · 2026-08-20
Regarding whether LLM-manually controlled robots can reliably perform complex tasks by 2028, the author predicts a probability of less than 10%. The reasoning is that these tasks are 100x harder than simple "pick up a block" demos, and relying on LLMs to output JSON for joint control introduces high latency, making it impossible to meet the millisecond-level reaction times required for tasks like juggling.
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