Prediction market: 13% chance AI bubble bursts this year
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-19
Polymarket prediction market data shows a 13% chance that the AI bubble will burst this year. The market defines an industry downturn specifically, requiring at least three of six events to occur within 90 days, including NVDA dropping 50%, OpenAI bankruptcy or acquisition, or H100 rentals falling to $1.00.
Related event: Prediction Markets See Only ~14% Chance of AI Bubble Bursting This Year(3 posts)→
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