Polymarket: 47% Chance OpenAI Releases Astra by End of Next Month
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-19
Polymarket data shows a 47% probability that OpenAI will release its next major model, "Astra," by the end of next month.
The market rules specify that "Astra" must be confirmed by OpenAI and made available to the general public (including open betas). Private betas do not count. Additionally, the post references a breaking claim suggesting OpenAI halted RL training on frontier models after Astra showed signs of reaching "Critical" cybersecurity capabilities.
Related event: Rumors Swirl Around OpenAI's Next-Gen Model Codenamed Astra(9 posts)→
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