METR data: AI accelerated bug finding in 2026, not algorithms

soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-08-18

METR released an analysis examining if LLMs have accelerated the aggregate rate of discovery. By comparing slope changes around January 2026, they found: Cyber vulnerability discovery has accelerated sharply, clearly due to LLMs; Math results have accelerated somewhat, though objective measurement is hard; Algorithm optimizations show no dramatic acceleration (progress in NanoGPT, CIFAR-10, Stockfish remains consistent with historical trends). The analysis is based on public data.

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