AI drug discovery predictions from a decade ago fail

cjmaddison · x · 2026-08-17

A post highlighted a prediction from a major AI drug discovery player ten years ago that there would be ten FDA approved drugs in a decade. Ten years later, zero have passed Phase II trials. CJ Maddison commented that credibility is lost when folks claim cures to all human disease in 5-10 years, noting we can't even measure most of it.

Related event: Experts Push Back on Amodei's Claim That AI Will Cure Most Diseases in 5-10 Years(6 posts)→

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