Polymarket shows 21% chance OpenAI goes public by end of year
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-17
Polymarket data indicates a 21% probability that OpenAI will complete its IPO by December 31, 2026. Despite generating roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—with enterprise API usage exceeding 40%—the company remains unprofitable. Analysis suggests internal discussions favor delaying the IPO to target a $1 trillion valuation, with CEO Sam Altman and underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley weighing the timing.
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