AI Growth Forecasts: Economists vs. Insiders – 1.5% vs 30% Gap
TaniaBabina · x · 2026-08-17
A collection of forecasts regarding AI's impact on economic growth (2025-2035) reveals a significant split:
- Economists: Mostly predict 0.1–1.5%/year growth.
- AI Insiders: Mostly predict 3–30%/year growth (Karpathy is a notable exception expecting historical trends).
The disagreement stems primarily from differing views on the future rate of AI capability progress.
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