Anthropic's Sholto Douglas: Models will automate 95% of computer jobs by 2028
Neurogence · reddit · 2026-08-16
Anthropic researcher Sholto Douglas predicts models will be capable of automating 95% of computer-facing jobs (33% of US jobs) by 2028. However, he argues widespread adoption may lag into the 2030s due to compute shortages, diffusion complexity, policy, and demand. He advocates for serious societal preparation, including contingency policies like limiting layoff rates.
Related event: Anthropic Researcher: Models May Automate 95% of Computer Work by 2028(2 posts)→
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