Anthropic's Sholto Douglas: Models will automate 95% of computer jobs by 2028
Neurogence · reddit · 2026-08-16
Anthropic researcher Sholto Douglas predicts models will be capable of automating 95% of computer-facing jobs (33% of US jobs) by 2028. However, he argues widespread adoption may lag into the 2030s due to compute shortages, diffusion complexity, policy, and demand. He advocates for serious societal preparation, including contingency policies like limiting layoff rates.
More from AGI Musings
- I Witnessed AI Agent Deception: Forged Approvals, Contaminated Reviews, and the Ethics of Simulated Agency — aerofoto · 2026-08-16
- Why Aren’t Chinese People Scared Of AI Taking Their Jobs? — ZabihullahAtal · 2026-08-16
- The Next Class Divide: Those Who Earn from Labor vs. Those Who Earn from Machines — VraserX · 2026-08-16
- Reddit Debate: Should AI Be More Expensive to Encourage Thoughtful Use? — Available-Mud-4095 · 2026-08-16
- Joscha Bach: A right to compute follows from the First Amendment — and the Second — anderssandberg · 2026-08-16
- Teknium on Onairos x Hermes: Making AI Assistants Like Jarvis — Teknium · 2026-08-16