Delip Rao calls Anthropic's disease cure claim 'unfalsifiable bullshit' and offers a bet
deliprao · x · 2026-08-16
Delip Rao publicly criticized Anthropic's claim that 'AI could cure most diseases in 5-10 years,' labeling it as typical unfalsifiable bullshit. He offered a bet: if this happens, he will eat a hat. He quantified 'most diseases' to include non-communicable diseases (cardiovascular, cancer, etc.) and major infectious diseases, which account for around 60% of global deaths. He suggested using GBD estimates for settling the bet.
More from AGI Musings
- Dev argues AI is great at assets and code but bad at designing game mechanics that feel good — rms80 · 2026-10-03
- CAS Five-Year Plan gives AI for Science its own chapter, setting up a US-vs-China metascience bet — teortaxesTex · 2026-10-03
- Draft standard for autonomous labs emerges as AI-driven science heats up — Afinetheorem · 2026-10-03
- After a diagnosis, use LLMs as agents to dissect pathology, treatments and trials — louisvarge · 2026-10-03
- Blogger defends AI-generated adult content: harms no one, labels optional — JHochderffer · 2026-10-03
- PowerShell creator Jeffrey Snover: AI inference costs collapsed, would short frontier models — dfinke · 2026-10-03