Dwarkesh x Greenblatt: AI takeover risk estimate pushed from GPT-7 to GPT-9
zetalyrae · x · 2026-08-15
The post recounts an update from the Dwarkesh and Greenblatt conversation regarding AI capability progress. Previously, it was assumed that the hypothetical model posing a takeover risk in the GPT-4 era would be GPT-7. Now, with GPT-5 still in development, the expectation for a 'scary takeover model' has shifted to GPT-9, reflecting an adjustment in expectations for the speed of capability breakthroughs under current scaling laws.
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