Polymarket is betting on DeepSeek's next Pro model: 60% odds by Nov 30
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-15
Polymarket has launched a market on when DeepSeek's next Pro model will ship. To resolve "Yes," the model must be a core-series (V-series) successor with "DeepSeek" and "Pro" in its name, newer than the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813 — side models like Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or updates under an unchanged identifier, don't count. It must also be publicly accessible (open beta or open waitlist; closed betas don't qualify), and a unified successor without tier naming counts if it takes over the flagship slot.
Current odds: 39% Yes for the Oct 31, 2026 deadline ($50 volume) and 60% Yes for Nov 30 ($263 volume). Notably, the rules treat V4-Pro-0813 as the existing baseline model.
More from Models
- Dev: Claude writes 'zero bugs' on healthcare apps, 10x token efficiency — repligate · 2026-10-16
- Shanghai AI Lab unveils Intern Lumina U2, a diffusion LLM unifying image, video and 3D tasks — Shanghai-AI-Laboratory · 2026-10-16
- This Week in Tech breaks down Gemini 4, OpenAI's Dots agents, and Anthropic's leaked IPO filing — LouMM · 2026-10-16
- Sentry CEO Reveals $8,972 Claude Bill as Opus 'Scope Creeps' Through Team Workloads — zeeg · 2026-10-16
- Opus 5.5 wins: Anthropic reclaims token and spend share from OpenAI in 6 days — FinanceYF5 · 2026-10-16
- will.deeb: asking why a minor lab benchmarked against a 2-month-old frontier model is usually a stupid question — willcb · 2026-10-16