Prediction market bets 15% chance AI bubble bursts by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-15
Polymarket data shows a 15% probability that the AI bubble will burst by the end of 2026. The prediction defines specific criteria for a downturn, requiring at least three conditions to be met within 90 days, such as NVIDIA stock dropping 50%, OpenAI or Anthropic declaring bankruptcy, H100 rental prices falling below $1, or major hardware suppliers seeing their stock price halve.
More from Venture
- SoftBank lines up US IPOs for SB Energy and AI robotics spinoff Roze, valuations top $50B — nordicinst · 2026-10-16
- Skild AI Crosses $100M ARR as CEO Says Robot Deployment Can't Be Outsourced — deepakpathak · 2026-10-16
- Construction robotics startup Origin raises $20M from Accel and Zacua Ventures — vaibhavbetter · 2026-10-16
- EmailOctopus founder on why vibe coding your own email service provider is harder than it looks — ayushtweetshere · 2026-10-16
- Marc Launvibe-codes open-source beehiiv clone MailCheap, profitable from day 1 at $19/mo — marclou · 2026-10-16
- Anthropic financials decoded: $110B ARR target, Q3 cash-flow positive, real 2027 commitments far below $500B — FinanceYF5 · 2026-10-16