Prediction market bets 15% chance AI bubble bursts by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-15
Polymarket data shows a 15% probability that the AI bubble will burst by the end of 2026. The prediction defines specific criteria for a downturn, requiring at least three conditions to be met within 90 days, such as NVIDIA stock dropping 50%, OpenAI or Anthropic declaring bankruptcy, H100 rental prices falling below $1, or major hardware suppliers seeing their stock price halve.
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