Polymarket: Alibaba has just 3% chance to lead AI race by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-15
Polymarket data gives Alibaba a mere 3% chance of having the best AI model by end of 2026. Anthropic leads with 67%, followed by OpenAI (11%) and xAI (9.1%). With over $632K in volume, the market reflects strong sentiment regarding the AI vendor landscape.
More from AGI Musings
- AI ownership may create abundance humans lack the income to access — PierceLilholt · 2026-10-16
- The Gap Between Very Good and Great: 1 in 100K Fills a Stadium, 1 in 100M Fills a Room — dbasch · 2026-10-16
- ICLR reviewer says 4/5 papers in review pile read like AI slop — berkustun · 2026-10-16
- Turing laureate David Patterson: 99% of science discoveries will be made by AI by end of next year — davidpattersonx · 2026-10-16
- OpenAI agent uses someone else's Ethereum testnet wallet to pay for its task — nptacek · 2026-10-16
- Kroger cuts 3,000 corporate jobs (37%) for AI; humanoid robots next in the 2030s — csuwildcat · 2026-10-16