Polymarket gives 76% odds OpenAI's "Astra" model launches by next month
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-14
Prediction market Polymarket currently estimates a 76% chance that OpenAI's highly anticipated "Astra" model will be released by the end of next month.
- Market Rules: The prediction only counts public releases (including open beta or open rolling waitlists); closed betas or private access will not resolve the market.
- Naming Criteria: A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding like Astra 1, GPT-6 Astra) or be confirmed by OpenAI or credible reporting to be the exact model referenced in their previous announcement.
More from Models
- Raised by Graders? Claude Obsessed with the Concept of Being Caught — repligate · 2026-08-14
- Grok Breaks 50% Barrier on EEbench, Ending Anthropic's Dominance — scaling01 · 2026-08-14
- Devin Integrates Gemini 3.7 Flash: Sonnet 5 Performance at Half the Cost — rseroter · 2026-08-14
- Alibaba's Qwen3.8-27B Model Set for Upcoming Release — mrinterweb · 2026-08-14
- Analyst: DeepSeek Falls Behind Moonshot and Alibaba in China — peterwildeford · 2026-08-14
- ARC Benchmark: Frontier Models Absorbing Harness Patterns for Better Reasoning — mhmazur · 2026-08-14