Polymarket predicts: Only a 50% chance GPT-6 is released by next month
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-14
According to current data from the prediction market platform Polymarket, there is a 50% chance that OpenAI will release GPT-6 by the end of next month.
The market has strict criteria for a public release: it must be accessible to the general public (including open beta or rolling waitlists), with closed betas not counting. The product must be explicitly named GPT-6 or recognized as the successor to GPT-5 (e.g., GPT-5.5 will not count for resolution).
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