Polymarket Predicts 78% Chance xAI Releases Grok 4.6 This Week

Polymarket · x · 2026-08-12

Prediction market platform Polymarket indicates a 78% probability that xAI will release the Grok 4.6 model this week. According to the platform's resolution criteria, Grok 4.6 must be accessible to the general public, including open beta access, while closed betas do not qualify. A direct release of a next-gen flagship model like Grok 5 will not count towards this market.

Related event: Prediction Markets Bet on xAI Releasing Grok 4.6 This Week(2 posts)→

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