Google CEO Says Quantum Computing Is Like AI Five Years Ago, Gets Pushback

whurley · x · 2026-08-11

Google CEO Sundar Pichai recently compared the current state of quantum computing to where artificial intelligence was five years ago, a claim that drew blunt pushback from prominent tech figures.

The article delves into the validity of this comparison. Literally, AI five years ago (e.g., GPT-3, AlphaFold 2) had functional foundational architectures and a clear roadmap that scaling compute and data improved performance. Quantum computing, by contrast, is arguably still waiting for fundamental scientific breakthroughs. However, in terms of long-term transformative potential, quantum might be in its own quiet pre-dawn.

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