Polymarket Forecasts Anthropic 67% Likely to IPO by 2027, OpenAI at 16%
Polymarket · x · 2026-08-08
Recent Polymarket data reveals a stark divergence in market expectations regarding the IPO timelines of major AI unicorns before 2027. Anthropic is currently favored with a 67% probability of going public, whereas OpenAI trails significantly at just 16%.
Other notable AI players show varied odds: Mistral AI sits at 11%, Databricks at 7%, and ByteDance at 7%. In contrast, the non-AI e-commerce giant Shein has a 94% implied probability of an IPO within the same timeframe.
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