AI progress may point toward a simulation, but the real/simulated split is too simple
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-08-04
The quoted thread argues that AI progress should update us toward the possibility that reality is a simulation, but pushes back on a few assumptions behind the classic argument.
Main points
- “Especially likely to simulate the singularity” is a very strong assumption.
- There may be many post-singularity scenarios, and some could be more interesting than the singularity itself.
- The binary of “simulated vs real” may be too crude: a universe that does not exchange information with outside universes could be equally real in either case.
The author suggests thinking in a broader space of universes rather than forcing everything into a simple yes/no simulation label.
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