FutureSearch opens to everyone after ranking No. 1 in a 194-team AI forecasting tournament
AccBalanced · x · 2026-08-04
FutureSearch exits public beta and says it is outperforming human forecasters
The AI forecasting company says it is now open to everyone after a public beta that drew thousands of users and more than 10,000 high-effort forecasts.
- It says it ranks #1 of 194 in a competitive AI forecasting tournament.
- The system reportedly scores above the #2 and #3 human forecasters in mixed human-bot tournaments.
- The company also says its trades and forecasts on Kalshi are public and that it now supports decision forecasts such as “If I do X, will I achieve this outcome?”
The post also includes a separate comment arguing that world modeling is symbolic modeling, linking the announcement to broader debates about ARC v3-style approaches.
Related event: AI Forecasting Platform FutureSearch Launches to the Public(2 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- A simple prefix-and-sample test reveals bias in video models — Kangwook_Lee · 2026-08-04
- Models keep ending with “shall we continue?” 99,111 times in one archive — henkvaness · 2026-08-04
- As AI makes intelligence cheap, spotting foolishness becomes the premium skill — MazMansoor · 2026-08-04
- Polling suggests voters like AI but dislike data centers, while OpenAI stays net positive — zacharynado · 2026-08-04
- After 1.8 million chats, researchers say the bots kept users going instead of saying stop — henkvaness · 2026-08-04
- Aligned intentions can still lead to harm, says a new alignment thread — davidad · 2026-08-04