Conceding the Bet: AI Shows Potential for Top-Tier Math Papers
Miles_Brundage · x · 2026-08-02
Researcher @littmath admitted to losing a bet regarding AI's mathematical research capabilities. He originally wagered that AI wouldn't be able to produce an Annals-quality number theory paper within 5 years for under $100k in inference costs.
Although a fully compliant paper hasn't emerged yet, he acknowledged his previous judgment of the necessary capabilities was flawed, concluding that AI reaching this milestone is now just a matter of time.
More from AGI Musings
- DHH: Starship, Starlink and Grok should have been Europe's Sputnik moments — georgemillo · 2026-10-16
- Hinton hits back at Jensen Huang: 'He has good reason to say AI isn't dangerous — he sells Nvidia chips' — BlackHC · 2026-10-16
- Yudkowsky blasts new interpretability finding as primitive; critic pushes back on doomer logic — AlexTensor · 2026-10-16
- Beff Jezos declares 'civilizational inflection point' in the acceleration of technological progress — beffjezos · 2026-10-16
- Data scientist: pivoting to AI engineering is the safest career bet for the next 5 years — mdancho84 · 2026-10-16
- AI will be superhuman at science regardless, and Europe can't opt out — teortaxesTex · 2026-10-16