Conceding the Bet: AI Shows Potential for Top-Tier Math Papers

Miles_Brundage · x · 2026-08-02

Researcher @littmath admitted to losing a bet regarding AI's mathematical research capabilities. He originally wagered that AI wouldn't be able to produce an Annals-quality number theory paper within 5 years for under $100k in inference costs.

Although a fully compliant paper hasn't emerged yet, he acknowledged his previous judgment of the necessary capabilities was flawed, concluding that AI reaching this milestone is now just a matter of time.

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