Open Source Miniaturization: Opus-Level Models on Laptops Next Year?
No-Meringue5867 · reddit · 2026-08-01
Inspired by the release of DeepSeek V4, a developer visualized the trend of open-source LLM sizes versus their performance scores.
- Constantly Shrinking: Open-source models are getting smaller and better. DeepSeek V4 Flash, for instance, is highly capable yet small enough to run on a custom setup built for under $50,000, bypassing the need for a datacenter.
- Next Year's Breakthrough: Extrapolating the current trend, the author speculates that by next year, we could see Opus 4.5-level models (AA score 30-40) running directly on consumer-grade laptops like MacBook Air/Pro.
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