Polymarket Prices 26% Chance of US AI Safety Bill by 2027

Polymarket · x · 2026-07-31

Following recent events involving OpenAI's rogue agent and Sam Altman's White House briefing, prediction market Polymarket reflects sentiment on US AI regulation.

Currently, the market prices the probability of the US enacting a federal AI safety bill by the end of 2026 at just 26%. To resolve as 'Yes', the bill must include provisions prohibiting the creation/release of specific AI systems, restricting training parameters/data, or limiting specific use cases.

Related event: Polymarket Bets Only 26% Chance of US AI Safety Bill by 2026(2 posts)→

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