Polymarket Opens Betting on Claude Outages: How Many Days Down in July?

Polymarket · x · 2026-07-30

Following recent service disruptions, prediction market Polymarket has opened a betting market on the number of days Claude will experience downtime in July. Currently, the market predicts a 56% probability that Claude will face downtime on 9-11 days throughout the month. Multiple major outages in June have heightened concerns over Anthropic's infrastructure resilience amid surging demand.

Related event: Claude Suffers Major Outage as Prediction Markets Bet on Future Downtime(2 posts)→

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