Zvi Bets on Manifold: Will Opus 5 Outperform Sol on Spires?

TheZvi · x · 2026-07-30

AI blogger Zvi Mowshowitz has created a prediction market on Manifold Markets wagering whether the future Anthropic Claude Opus 5 will beat Sol on the Spires benchmark. The market currently prices Opus 5's chance of winning at 51%. Epoch AI is scheduled to stream experiments for Sol today.

Original post →

More from Fun

Fun channel →