AI 2027 tracker says capabilities are still moving slower than the original scenario
shadowt1tan · reddit · 2026-07-29
An AI 2027 tracker update claims the current forecast is about 85% accurate as of mid-2026, but says capability growth is still slower than the original AI 2027 scenario.
- The post highlights a key discrepancy: the tracker’s curve suggests an automated coder around June 2028, not January 2027.
- The underlying point is that progress may still be fast, but not as fast as the most aggressive scenario predicted.
- This is a classic AGI-timeline discussion: capability curves, forecast calibration, and how to interpret near-term progress.
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