Polymarket: Only 17% Chance Tesla Launches Robotaxis in California This Year

Polymarket · x · 2026-07-29

Prediction market Polymarket implies only a 17% chance Tesla will launch a self-driving taxi service in California this year. Meanwhile, Tesla claims its FSD is 420% safer than manual driving across 65 million kilometers in five European countries.

Related event: Tesla Claims FSD is 5.2x Safer Than Human Driving in Europe(4 posts)→

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