Polymarket Prices 26% Chance of U.S. AI Safety Bill Before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-29
Following news of OpenAI's efforts to potentially slow frontier AI development, prediction market Polymarket currently prices the probability of the U.S. enacting a federal AI safety bill before 2027 at just 26%. The qualifying bill must include provisions prohibiting specific models, restricting training parameters/data, or limiting use cases. The market has seen a trading volume of $101,112.
Related event: OpenAI Proposes Future Mechanism to Slow Down Frontier AI(7 posts)→
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