AI expertise doesn’t make people good at forecasting the future, Dan Jeffries argues
ylecun · x · 2026-07-28
Dan Jeffries argues that expertise does not make people good at forecasting the future: being right about AI today does not mean being right about jobs, radiology automation, or takeoff timelines. The core point is that prediction is a separate skill, and many confident AI commentators may be systematically overestimating their own forecasting ability.
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