How much intelligence can fit into a 20B-parameter model? A local-model debate
BritishDudeGuy · reddit · 2026-07-28
The post asks a high-level question about the ceiling of intelligence in small models: could something as capable as Claude Fable eventually fit into a 20B-parameter model, perhaps by 2035?
The author says they have recently moved from closed-source labs and wants to know whether this is physically plausible, and what minimum model size people think would be needed to host something comparable to Fable 5.
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